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  1. 1 de jul. de 2024 · The model does this by constructing thousands of scenarios, each one containing different vote shares in each state and different values for the impact of polling biases and other characteristics.

  2. Hace 5 días · This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters . Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.

  3. 24 de jun. de 2024 · Donald J. Trump’s lead over President Biden in national polls has widened since their debate last week.

  4. Hace 1 día · The election of the president and the vice president of the United States is an indirect election in which citizens of the United States who are registered to vote in one of the fifty U.S. states or in Washington, D.C., cast ballots not directly for those offices, but instead for members of the Electoral College.

  5. 30 de jun. de 2024 · This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each candidate winning individual states. Circles positioned further to the left indicate a higher likelihood of a Biden victory, while circles...

  6. 11 de jun. de 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...

  7. Hace 3 días · 2020 Presidential Election Live Results. Note: We have two options for watching the electoral map populate. The other page combines live results with a pre-election forecast. It is similar to the pages we have for Senate, House and Governor. The map will populate as a winner is projected in each state.